perm filename ESSAY.CAR[CUR,JMC] blob
sn#137890 filedate 1974-12-30 generic text, type T, neo UTF8
00100 1. The virtues of cars not posessed by other means of transportation.
00200
00300 2. We can continue indefinitely to have cars except in Manhattan and
00400 probably even there.
00500
00600 3. How cars can be made to serve better.
00700
00800 4. What might be better yet.
00900
01000 There has been much denunciation of the role of the automobile
01100 in American life, and when I first thought of organizing a session
01200 on the long term future of the automobile, I thought that this
01300 denunciation had given rise to a controversy that in turn had
01400 given rise to strongly held reasonably comprehensive views of what
01500 the future of the automobile ought to be. As far as I have been
01600 able to determine, this was a mistake. Neither the autombile
01700 companies nor the environmental organizations, nor the Department
01800 of Transportation, nor the Environmental Protection Agency nor
01900 the academic community has developed any comprehensive views on the
02000 subject. At least none were produced by a literature search
02100 and a rather determined search for speakers for this symposium.
02200 From this I have concluded that most of the talk is just posturing
02300 and that almost everyone expects things to continue more or less
02400 as they are now - at least until some catastrophe occurs
02500 that may or may not be related to the automobile.
02600
02700 This has encouraged me to express a comprehensive view
02800 even though only one part of it - the computer part - has
02900 anything really new in it.
03000 This view has several components:
03100
03200 1. The virtues of the automobile as compared to any
03300 existing or presently planned form of public transportation
03400 are so great that we should plan for its continuance until
03500 it can be replaced by a transportation system (quite possibly
03600 also individual) that has these virtues in an even greater
03700 degree.
03800
03900 2. Most of the agitation and legislation concerning
04000 the automobile in the last five years has been misguided -
04100 mainly the expression of intellectual fads. Nevertheless,
04200 we can afford the waste that the legislation has caused so
04300 far, and some aspects of the legislation - if not the
04400 spirit that gave rise to it - are worthwhile.
04500 In short, the 1950s understood the automobile better than the 1970s.
04600 How things got worse is worthy of study; the scientific
04700 community is not without its share of the responsibility.
04710 Besides this, many of the legal and bureaucratic measures that
04720 have been taken without the informed consent of the governed
04730 and are tyrannical in any sense of the word.
04750
04800
04900 4. In order to keep the automobile with its present
05000 virtues only the energy problem has to be solved - i.e. none
05100 of the other problems actually require action, although some
05200 action may be helpful. The energy problem for vehicles is
05300 substantial and requires action beyond that required for the
05400 general energy problem.
05500
05600 5. The automobile can be made a more useful tool than
05700 it is now, but most of the improvements require a degree of
05800 artificial intelligence (my field) that won't come easily or
05900 quickly, but will come eventually.
06000
06100 This paper is devoted to elaborating these five points.
06200
06300
06400 THE VIRTUES OF THE AUTOMOBILE
06500
06600 Much of this section is belaboring the obvious, i.e.
06700 bringing to the top of the reader's mind things that he has
06800 probably thought of at one time or another.